Skip to content

Phase 1: Evidence Collection

The first phase of the project has now finished. Work undertaken includes:

1. Reviews of drivers of change

These reviews consider major (drivers) affecting the global food and farming system out to 2050. A complete list of the driver reviews can be found by clicking here.

  • Overview (click the [+] to view)
    • Population
    • Climate change and effect on agriculture
    • Consumption and consumer attitudes
    • Energy and agriculture
    • Production possibilities: crops
    • Livestock
    • Governance
    • Ecosystem services
    • Competition for land
    • Agricultural investment, research, extension and development
    • Review of existing modelling and scenarios
    • Economics of globalisation, specialisation and trade
    • Competition for water
    • Urbanisation, megacities and de-urbanisation
    • Marine fisheries
    • Freshwater fisheries
    • Aquaculture
    • Production to plate for aquatic foods
    • Food price volatility
    • Income distribution and purchasing power
    • Waste
    • Wild foods
    • Health, agriculture and development

Difficult to Imagine Drivers

In addition, the project held a workshop to identify 'difficult to imagine drivers of change' that may affect the food system.

2. Case studies in specific regions of the world

These studies investigate specific issues, using parts of the world as particular exemplars. Local experts are generally involved in this work. Case studies address the following questions:

  • As a land-rich country that is host to enormous biodiversity, what may be the consequences in Brazil for land use, land management and biodiversity of different scenarios of food availability into the future?
  • What are the consequences of China's substantial investment in agricultural research?
  • What are the determinants of consumer demand in India and to what extent do beliefs and values determine demand for food?
  • How might a complex multi-national region such as the Nile catchment respond to the future cross-border challenges of climate change, water scarcity and population growth?
  • What is the vision for sustainable production in the UK in the context of North West Europe out to 2050 and what are the consequences of this vision for policy?
  • How might inland fisheries in the Mekong evolve out to 2050?