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News about the Uk Foresight Programme

Issue 8 - March 2005

esight newletter Jan 06

News about the UK Foresight Programme and OST's Horizon Scanning Centre - March 2005

Three Foresight projects are under way and we are launching OST's new Horizon Scanning Centre (HSC). For more information in each of these, please use the links below. All three projects are at present preparing their state-of-science reviews, which will be published during the upcoming months, starting with those for Brain Science, Addiction and Drugs.

Horizon Scanning Centre (HSC)

Following five months of intense preparation and pilot project work, the OST's Horizon Scanning Centre has officially opened its doors with the launch of its best practice offer.

The offer is designed to help UK Government departments carrying out or wishing to start horizon scanning projects. The Centre will support such projects by providing advice and coaching, and in some cases will participate directly in projects. Part of the offer is a self-help tool on futures techniques, based on the lessons from recent Foresight Projects.

In addition to offering support, the Centre will perform two major strategic scanning projects this year, the "Sigma Scan" and the S&T Scan".

For more information on the HSC, please visit our section of the Foresight website.

Project News

Detection and Identification of Infectious Diseases

As well as the state-of-science reviews, we are also commissioning reviews on the impact of culture, governance and society on the detection and identification of infectious diseases, comparing UK, China and Africa for plant, animal and human diseases. We will also be looking at reviewing the history of infectious disease, the impact of new media, such as the internet and mobile phones, and possible future techniques of controlling infectious diseases, such as vaccines and anti-virals.

In January 2005, we submitted a discussion paper to the Commission for Africa, in response to their consultation exercise. The paper considers the threat of infectious diseases in Africa and argues that, whilst the threat to human health and economic development is already severe, the pattern and nature of risks is set to change in the future.

The final report of the Commission (http://www.commissionforafrica.org/), was published on 11 March, generating new ideas for a strong and prosperous Africa, making use of the UK's presidency of the G8 in 2005.

Intelligent Infrastructure Systems (IIS)

We have reviewed other futures work in the area, and have identified key drivers and trends where Foresight could add value. This report will be published shortly.

We are next hosting a series of scenario-building workshops. The resulting scenarios will provide visions of the future which consider how robustness, sustainability and safety might vary.

The first IIS Newsletter will appear shortly on the Foresight website and will provide more detail on the work of the project. If you would like to receive an e-mail copy, You can register your interest here.

Brain Science, Addiction and Drugs

We are looking at several possible futures techniques including modelling, scenario development and horizon scanning. We are briefing business groups, professional bodies and user and treatment groups to develop ways in which they might use the project to inform their future work.

We have also commissioned a small-scale public consultation exercise to get a feel for the views held by the general public about the use of psychoactive substances in the future. Finally for now, the project team including the science experts, will be giving presentations at a number of national and international conferences including the International Conference on Drug Related Harm, the British Psychological Society, the British Neuroscience Society, Drugscope and the British Association for Psychopharmacology.

Previous Foresight Projects

Three Foresight projects will be reaching their one year post-launch reviews this summer, for more information on these projects see the home pages for Flood & Coastal Defence, Exploiting the Electromagnetic Spectrum and Cyber Trust & Crime Prevention.

The first project to be launched, Cognitive Systems is still creating impacts. The Royal Society for the encouragement of Arts, Manufactures & Commerce (RSA) Design Directions competition, Design for Debate, based on Cognitive Systems outputs attracted over 80 entries from design students from all over the UK. They were charged with using product design as a medium to question the social, cultural and ethical implications of a 'smart' future by looking at hopes (in an ideal world) and fears(a cautionary tale). The results will be announced in May. (http://www.rsa-design.net/)

Other links

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